There is no “climate emergency.”

Anxiety about extreme weather is justified; droughts, severe cold, wind storms and floods can be devastating and, over the course of human history, have killed hundreds of millions of people. 

Is human-caused climate change making matters worse? Should we be more concerned than ever? The short answer is NO. 

But before we get to the evidence, we should acknowledge that at no time before have people been so inundated with news about natural disasters. There are four reasons:   

• Firstly, cell phones and the internet mean that disasters of every sort are recorded and shared. Eruptions, tsunamis, landslides, fires, storms, tornadoes, hurricanes, avalanches and other natural disasters make gripping viewing and headlines. 

• Secondly, scientists are recording data from sensors and satellites in real time, from around the world, constantly. 

• Thirdly, there are more people living in areas where risks are high. 

• Fourthly, it serves green interests to keep the “climate emergency” top of mind. 

There are no end of angst-justifying news stories about extreme weather events, melting ice caps and rising sea levels. However, the news stories are markedly different to what scientists of all stripes have been observing in the data. It takes some effort, but if you go through the voluminous reports from the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the Canadian Government there is no evidence of a climate emergency. 

Government reports: no “climate emergency.”

These are detailed reports of weather observations made by government backed scientists from around the world. They do not state there is a "climate emergency".

In this Financial Post article Ross McKitrick details how the IPCC reports give no evidence for a climate emergency.

You can also find the links to the relevant government document in the article

He is a Professor of Economics at the University of Guelph and a Senior Fellow of the Fraser Institute. 

A historian's perspective

Dr. John Robson of The Climate Discussion Nexus raises an eyebrow about “....the most significant crisis humanity has ever faced.” (11 minutes)

Independent scientists: no “climate emergency.”

Scientists who operate independently to the IPCC and are expert in various aspects of meteorology, oceanography, geophysics and solar physicists, to name just a few disciplines, have attempted to get the story out that, “there is no climate emergency.” Five hundred of them, coordinated by the Dutch based group CLINTEL, sent a report to the United Nations in 2019, titled, “There is no climate emergency.” Did the message get reported in the mainstream press? No.

See this 17 minute video of Guus Berkhout of CLINTEL reporting "there is no climate emergency"...
This paper authored by Guus Berkhout explains some basic scientific points about why computer models that predict a climate emergency are misleading. More...

Adverse weather fatalities are at a record low

Yet more evidence that there is no climate emergency is that the number of fatalities caused by natural disasters of all types has been going down to a remarkable extent. Fewer than 12,000 people died in natural disasters during the five years up to 2018 which is a 95% reduction versus the average recorded between 1900–1970. Historically, droughts and floods were the most fatal events. Now the most deadly tend to be earthquakes.

The graph is interactive. You can select categories of disasters and change the date range by moving the slider: https://ourworldindata.org/natural-disasters .  Hannah Ritchie and Max Roser (2019)

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